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Pratham Kulshrestha

How Much Longer?

The Covid-19 pandemic cost millions of lives, with a continual increase in cases to date. As of July 6, 2021, there have been approximately 185 million cases worldwide.


Since the outbreak, human life on global terms has changed significantly. Our daily lifestyle has been influenced and shaped as per the severity of the virus. Countries have been under an economic and financial crisis. Billions have lost their jobs, with no source of income and no hope for recovery. Governments have curbed the genuine human activity in the world, limiting it to the minimum. As the giant spreads at an increasingly rapid rate, infecting innumerable people, humans are developing certain medical modifications due to Covid itself. As we all struggle against the now 2nd wave of Covid, the Third peers over from the horizon. Medications developed, though highly effective, have their own side effects. Mucormycosis, a fungal infection also referred to as the ‘Black Fungus’, has seen a steep rise in cases during the second wave. In these pressing times, the question of the hour arises, “How long till everyone is vaccinated?”


The COVID-19 vaccine is providing a transition out of this phase of the pandemic. Many scientists believed that natural herd immunity would not have been enough to restore society's balance. In a scenario without the current vaccines, it is estimated that restrictions and strict behavioural measures would have remained for a long time. As of July 6, 2021, 3.25 billion (or 325 crores) vaccines have been administered worldwide, this figure gives scientists hope of returning to normal.


People are concerned about the efficacy of the vaccine against the relatively newer strains of the virus. People often misunderstand the efficacy of vaccines to be the percentage of people that won't get the virus when the vaccine is provided. For example, if a vaccine provides an efficacy of 95%, it means that out of 100 people, 95 would be immune to covid and the rest of the people, will be exposed to the virus, however that is false. If only 1% of people were to get COVID, administering the vaccine to all would reduce the 1% chance to 0.05%. At such low rates, permanent restrictions could be eased and life would partially return to normal.


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